Sovereign Default Reading List
Compiled by Gabriel Mihalache
This is a reading list I first compiled in January 2020, for my second year graduate class at Stony Brook University, ECO 613 Computational Macroeconomics. The focus is on "quantitative-theoretic" models and relevant data
work. Suggestions and edits are welcome! Last updated August 2024.
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Benchmark Models and Theory
- Eaton, J., & Gersovitz, M. (1981). Debt with Potential Repudiation: Theoretical and Empirical Analysis. The Review of Economic Studies, 48(2), 289. DOI
- Cole, H. L., & Kehoe, T. (2000). Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises. Review of Economic Studies, 67(1), 91–116. DOI
- Aguiar, M., & Gopinath, G. (2006). , interest rates and the current account. Journal of International Economics, 69(1), 64–83. DOI
- Arellano, C. (2008). Default Risk and Income Fluctuations in Emerging Economies. American Economic Review, 98(3), 690–712. DOI
- Chatterjee, S., & Eyigungor, B. (2012). , Indebtedness, and Default Risk. American Economic Review, 102(6), 2674–2699. DOI
- Aguiar, M., Chatterjee, S., Cole, H., & Stangebye, Z. (2016). Quantitative Models of Sovereign Debt Crises. Handbook of Macroeconomics, 1697–1755. DOI
- Auclert, A., & Rognlie, M. (2016). Unique equilibrium in the Eaton–Gersovitz model of sovereign debt. Journal of Monetary Economics, 84, 134–146. DOI
- Aguiar, M., & Amador, M. (2019). A contraction for sovereign debt models. Journal of Economic Theory, 183, 842–875. DOI
- Lorenzoni, G., & Werning, I. (2019). Slow Moving Debt Crises. American Economic Review, 109(9), 3229–3263. DOI
- Abbas, S. A., Pienkowski, A., & Rogoff, K. (Eds.). (2019). Sovereign Debt. DOI
- Paluszynski, R., & Stefanidis, G. (2023). Borrowing into debt crises. Quantitative Economics, 14(1), 277–308. DOI
- Xavier Mateos-Planas & Sean McCrary & José-Víctor Ríos-Rull & Adrien Wicht (2023). The Generalized Euler Equation and the Bankruptcy-Sovereign Default Problem. Working paper.
Evidence
- Neumeyer, P. A., & Perri, F. (2005). Business cycles in emerging economies: the role of interest rates. Journal of Monetary Economics, 52(2), 345–380. DOI
- Gelos, R. G., Sahay, R., & Sandleris, G. (2011). Sovereign borrowing by developing countries: What determines market access?
Journal of International Economics, 83(2), 243–254. DOI
- Tomz, M., & Wright, M. L. J. (2013). Empirical Research on Sovereign Debt and Default. Annual Review of Economics, 5(1), 247–272. DOI
- Cruces, J. J., & Trebesch, C. (2013). Sovereign Defaults: The Price of Haircuts. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 5(3),
85–117. DOI
- Alfaro, L., Kalemli-Ozcan, S., & Volosovych, V. (2014). Sovereigns, Upstream Capital Flows, and Global Imbalances.Journal of the European Economic Association, 12(5), 1240–1284. DOI
- Reinhart, C. M., & Trebesch, C. (2016). Sovereign Debt Relief and its Aftermath. Journal of the European Economic Association, 14(1), 215–251. DOI
- Aguiar, M., Chatterjee, S., Cole, H., & Stangebye, Z. (2016). Quantitative Models of Sovereign Debt Crises. Handbook of Macroeconomics, 1697–1755. DOI
- Du, W., & Schreger, J. (2016). Local Currency Sovereign Risk. The Journal of Finance, 71(3), 1027–1070. DOI
- Hebert, B. & Schreger, J. (2017). The Costs of Sovereign Default: Evidence from Argentina. American Economic Review, 107(10), 3119-3145. DOI
- Chamon, M., Schumacher, J., & Trebesch, C. (2018). Foreign-law bonds: Can they reduce sovereign borrowing costs? Journal of
International Economics, 114, 164–179. DOI
- Cheng, G., Diaz-Cassou, J., & Erce, A. (2018). The macroeconomic effects of official debt restructuring: evidence from the Paris Club. Oxford Economic Papers, 71(2), 344–363. DOI
- Josefin Meyer & Carmen M. Reinhart & Christoph Trebesch (2019). Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo. Working paper.
- Meyer, J., Reinhart, C. M., & Trebesch, C. (2022). Sovereign Bonds Since Waterloo. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 137(3), 1615–1680. DOI
- Timothy J. Kehoe & Juan Pablo Nicolini (2022). A Monetary and Fiscal History of Latin America, 1960–2017. Website
- Mitchener, K. J., & Trebesch, C. (2023). Sovereign Debt in the Twenty-first Century. Journal of Economic Literature, 61(2), 565–623. DOI
- Farah-Yacoub, J., von Luckner, C. M. G., & Reinhart, C. (2024). The Social Costs of Sovereign Default. Working paper.
- von Luckner, C. M. G., Meyer, J., Reinhart, C., & Trebesch, C. (2024). Sovereign Haircuts: 200 Years of Creditor Losses. Working paper.
- Asonuma, T., Chamon, M., Erce, A., & Sasahara, A. (2024). Costs of sovereign debt crises: Restructuring strategies and bank intermediation. Journal of International Economics, 152, DOI
Investment and Production
- Mendoza, E. G., & Yue, V. Z. (2012). A General Equilibrium Model of Sovereign Default and Business Cycles. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 127(2), 889–946. DOI
- Park, J. (2017). Sovereign default and capital accumulation. Journal of International Economics, 106, 119–133. DOI
- Gordon, G., & Guerron-Quintana, P. A. (2018). Dynamics of investment, debt, and default. Review of Economic Dynamics, 28, 71–95. DOI
- Arellano, C., Bai, Y., & Mihalache, G. (2018). Default risk, sectoral reallocation, and persistent recessions. Journal of International Economics, 112, 182–199. DOI
- Alessandria, G., Bai, Y., & Deng, M. (2020). Migration and sovereign default risk. Journal of Monetary Economics, 113, 1–22. DOI
- Zhigang Feng & Manuel Santos (2023). Markov Perfect Equilibrium in Economies with Sovereign Default and Distortionary Taxation. Working paper.
- Esquivel, C. (2024). Underinvestment and capital misallocation under sovereign risk. Journal of International Economics, 151, 103973. DOI
- Carlos Esquivel (2024). Sovereign Risk and Dutch Disease. Working paper.
- Carlos Esquivel (2024). The Sovereign Default Risk of Giant Oil Discoveries. Working paper.
Long-Term Debt, Reserves, and Maturity Choice
- Hatchondo, J. C., & Martinez, L. (2009). Long-duration bonds and sovereign defaults. Journal of International Economics, 79(1), 117–125. DOI
- Alfaro, L., & Kanczuk, F. (2009). Optimal reserve management and sovereign debt. Journal of International Economics, 77(1), 23–36. DOI
- Chatterjee, S., & Eyigungor, B. (2012). Maturity, Indebtedness, and Default Risk. American Economic Review, 102(6), 2674–2699. DOI
- Arellano, C., & Ramanarayanan, A. (2012). Default and the Maturity Structure in Sovereign Bonds. Journal of Political Economy, 120(2), 187–232. DOI
- Tiago Tavares (2015). The Role of International Reserves in Sovereign Debt Restructuring under Fiscal Adjustment. Working paper.
- Hatchondo, J. C., Martinez, L., & Sosa-Padilla, C. (2016). Debt Dilution and Sovereign Default Risk. Journal of Political Economy, 124(5), 1383–1422. DOI
- Bianchi, J., Hatchondo, J. C., & Martinez, L. (2018). International Reserves and Rollover Risk. American Economic Review, 108(9), 2629–2670. DOI
- Sánchez, J. M., Sapriza, H., & Yurdagul, E. (2018). Sovereign default and maturity choice. Journal of Monetary Economics, 95, 72–85. DOI
- Bocola, L., & Dovis, A. (2019). Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises: A Quantitative Analysis. American Economic Review, 109(12), 4343–4377. DOI
- Aguiar, M., Amador, M., Hopenhayn, H., & Werning, I. (2019). Take the Short Route: Equilibrium Default and Debt Maturity. Econometrica, 87(2), 423–462. DOI
- Mihalache, G. (2020). Sovereign default resolution through maturity extension. Journal of International Economics, 125, 103326. DOI
- Radoslaw Paluszynski (2022). The Ultralong Sovereign Default Risk. Working paper.
- Bianchi, J., & Sosa-Padilla, C. (2023). Reserve Accumulation, Macroeconomic Stabilization, and Sovereign Risk. Review of Economic Studies, 91(4), 2053–2103. DOI
- Sosa-Padilla, C., & Sturzenegger, F. (2023). Does it matter how central banks accumulate reserves? Evidence from sovereign spreads. Journal of International Economics, 140, 103711. DOI
- Barbosa-Alves, M., Bianchi, J., & Sosa-Padilla, C. (2024). International Reserve Management under Rollover Crises. Working paper.
Self-fulfilling Crises and Multiplicity
- Calvo, Guillermo A. (1988). Servicing the Public Debt: The Role of Expectations. American Economic Review. DOI
- Cole, H. L., & Kehoe, T. (2000). Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises. Review of Economic Studies, 67(1), 91–116. DOI
- Conesa, J. C., & Kehoe, T. J. (2017). Gambling for redemption and self-fulfilling debt crises. Economic Theory, 64(4), 707–740. DOI
- Ayres, J., Navarro, G., Nicolini, J. P., & Teles, P. (2018). Sovereign default: The role of expectations. Journal of Economic Theory, 175, 803–812. DOI
- Bocola, L., & Dovis, A. (2019). Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises: A Quantitative Analysis. American Economic Review, 109(12), 4343–4377. DOI
- Lorenzoni, G., & Werning, I. (2019). Slow Moving Debt Crises. American Economic Review, 109(9), 3229–3263. DOI
- Aguiar, M., & Amador, M. (2020). Self-Fulfilling Debt Dilution: Maturity and Multiplicity in Debt Models. American Economic Review, 110(9), 2783–2818. DOI
- Stangebye, Z. R. (2020). Beliefs and long-maturity sovereign debt. Journal of International Economics, 127, 103381. DOI
- Bianchi, J., & Mondragon, J. (2021). Monetary Independence and Rollover Crises. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 137(1), 435–491. DOI
- Mark Aguiar & Satyajit Chatterjee & Harold Cole & Zachary Stangebye (2022). Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises, Revisited. Journal of Political Economy. DOI
- Barbosa-Alves, M., Bianchi, J., & Sosa-Padilla, C. (2024). International Reserve Management under Rollover Crises. Working Paper.
- Joao Ayres & Gaston Navarro & Juan Pablo Nicolini & Pedro Teles (2024). Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises with Long Stagnations. Working paper.
Recovery, Renegotiation, and Haircuts
- Yue, V. Z. (2010). Sovereign default and debt renegotiation. Journal of International Economics, 80(2), 176–187. DOI
- Pitchford, R., & Wright, M. L. J. (2011). Holdouts in Sovereign Debt Restructuring: A Theory of Negotiation in a Weak Contractual
Environment. The Review of Economic Studies, 79(2), 812–837. DOI
- Hatchondo, J. C., Martinez, L., & Sosa Padilla, C. (2014). Voluntary sovereign debt exchanges. Journal of Monetary Economics, 61, 32–50. DOI
- Asonuma, T., & Trebesch, C. (2016). Sovereign Debt Restructurings: Preemptive or Post-Default. Journal of the European Economic Association, 14(1), 175–214. DOI
- Cristina Arellano & Yan Bai & Sandra Lizarazo (2017). Sovereign Risk Contagion. Working paper.
- Xiaohan Wang (2019). Renegotiation After Sovereign Default: Bygones No Longer. Working paper.
- Asonuma, T., & Joo, H. (2020). Sovereign Debt Restructurings: Delays in Renegotiations and Risk Averse Creditors. Journal of the European Economic Association, 18(5), 2394–2440. DOI
- Mihalache, G. (2020). Sovereign default resolution through maturity extension. Journal of International Economics, 125, 103326. DOI
- Dvorkin, M., Sánchez, J. M., Sapriza, H., & Yurdagul, E. (2021). Sovereign Debt Restructurings. American Economic Journal:
Macroeconomics, 13(2), 26–77. DOI
- Arellano, C., Mateos-Planas, X., & Ríos-Rull, J.-V. (2023). Partial Default. Journal of Political Economy, 131(6), 1385–1439. DOI
- Asonuma, T., Niepelt, D., & Ranciere, R. (2023). Sovereign bond prices, haircuts and maturity. Journal of International Economics, 140, 103689. DOI
- Arellano, C., Bai, Y., & Mihalache, G. (2023). Deadly Debt Crises: COVID-19 in Emerging Markets. Review of Economic Studies, 91(3), 1243–1290. DOI
- Juan C. Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Cesar Sosa-Padilla (2023). Sovereign Debt Standstills. Working paper.
Monetary Models
- Corsetti, G., & Dedola, L. (2016). The Mystery of the Printing Press: Monetary Policy and Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises. Journal of the European Economic Association, 14(6), 1329–1371. DOI
- Na, S., Schmitt-Grohé, S., Uribe, M., & Yue, V. (2018). The Twin Ds: Optimal Default and Devaluation. American Economic Review, 108(7), 1773–1819. DOI
- Fabrizio Perri & Sewon Hur & Illenin O. Kondo (2018). Real Interest Rates, Inflation, and Default. Working paper.
- Bacchetta, P., Perazzi, E., & van Wincoop, E. (2018). Self-fulfilling debt crises: What can monetary policy do? Journal of
International Economics, 110, 119–134. DOI
- Ottonello, P., & Perez, D. J. (2019). The Currency Composition of Sovereign Debt. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 11(3),
174–208. DOI
- Bianchi, J., & Mondragon, J. (2021). Monetary Independence and Rollover Crises. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 137(1), 435–491. DOI
- Hurtado, S., Nuño, G., & Thomas, C. (2022). Monetary Policy and Sovereign Debt Sustainability. Journal of the European Economic Association, 21(1), 293–325. DOI
- Cristina Arellano & Yan Bai & Gabriel Mihalache (2024). Monetary Policy and Sovereign Risk in Emerging Economies (NK-Default). Working paper.
Lenders, Global Factors
- Longstaff, F. A., Pan, J., Pedersen, L. H., & Singleton, K. J. (2011). How Sovereign Is Sovereign Credit Risk? American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 3(2), 75–103. DOI
- Nicola Borri & Adrien Verdelhan (2011). Sovereign Risk Premia. Working paper.
- Lizarazo, S. V. (2013). Default risk and risk averse international investors. Journal of International Economics, 89(2), 317–330. DOI
- Serkan Arslanalp & Takahiro Tsuda (2014). Tracking global demand for emerging market sovereign debt. Working paper.
- Aguiar, M., Chatterjee, S., Cole, H., & Stangebye, Z. (2016). Quantitative Models of Sovereign Debt Crises. Handbook of Macroeconomics, 1697–1755. DOI
- Morelli, J. M., Ottonello, P., & Perez, D. J. (2022). Global Banks and Systemic Debt Crises. Econometrica, 90(2), 749–798. DOI
- Johri, A., Khan, S., & Sosa-Padilla, C. (2022). Interest rate uncertainty and sovereign default risk. Journal of International Economics, 139, 103681. DOI
- Xiang Fang, Bryan Hardy & Karen K Lewis (2023). Who holds sovereign debt and why it matters. Working paper.
- Yan Bai, Patrick Kehoe, Peirlauro Lopez & Fabrizio Perri (2024). World Financial Cycles. Working paper.
- Victor Almeida, Carlos Esquivel, Timothy E. Kehoe & Juan Pablo Nicolini (2024). Default and Interest Rate Shocks: Renegotiation Matters. Working paper.
Primary and Secondary Markets
- Bulow, J., Rogoff, K., & Dornbusch, R. (1988). The Buyback Boondoggle. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1988(2), 675. DOI
- Broner, F., Martin, A., & Ventura, J. (2010). Sovereign Risk and Secondary Markets. American Economic Review, 100(4), 1523–1555. DOI
- Aguiar, M., Amador, M., Hopenhayn, H., & Werning, I. (2019). Take the Short Route: Equilibrium Default and Debt Maturity. Econometrica, 87(2), 423–462. DOI
- Gaston Chaumont (2019). Sovereign Debt, Default Risk, and the Liquidity of Government Bonds. Working paper.
- Cole, H., Neuhann, D., & Ordoñez, G. (2022). Asymmetric Information and Sovereign Debt: Theory Meets Mexican Data. Journal of Political Economy, 130(8), 2055–2109. DOI
- Cole, H. L., Neuhann, D., & Ordoñez, G. (2024). Information Spillovers and Sovereign Debt: Theory Meets the Eurozone Crisis. Review
of Economic Studies. DOI
- Ricardo Alves Monteiro & Stelios Fourakis (2024). Sovereign Debt Auctions with Strategic Interactions. Working paper.
Sovereign Risk Pass-through and the "Doom Loop"
- Gennaioli, N., Martin, A., & Rossi, S. (2014). Sovereign Default, Domestic Banks, and Financial Institutions. The Journal of Finance, 69(2), 819–866. DOI
- Bocola, L. (2016). The Pass-Through of Sovereign Risk. Journal of Political Economy, 124(4), 879–926. DOI
- Brunnermeier, M. K., Garicano, L., Lane, P. R., Pagano, M., Reis, R., Santos, T., Thesmar, D., Van Nieuwerburgh, S., & Vayanos, D.
(2016). The Sovereign-Bank Diabolic Loop and ESBies. American Economic Review, 106(5), 508–512. DOI
- Sosa-Padilla, C. (2018). Sovereign defaults and banking crises. Journal of Monetary Economics, 99, 88–105. DOI
- Francisco Roldán (2024). The Aggregate-Demand Doom Loop: Precautionary Motives and the Welfare Costs of Sovereign Risk. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
- Cristina Arellano & Yan Bai & Luigi Bocola (2024). Sovereign Default Risk and Firm Heterogeneity. Working paper.
- Sewon Hur & César Sosa-Padilla & Zeynep Yom (2024). Optimal Bailouts in Banking and Sovereign Crises. Working paper.
Political Economy
- Cuadra, G., & Sapriza, H. (2008). Sovereign default, interest rates and political uncertainty in emerging markets. Journal of International Economics, 76(1), 78–88. DOI
- Hatchondo, J. C., Martinez, L., & Sapriza, H. (2009). Heterogenous Borrowers in Quantitative Models of Sovereign Default. International Economic Review, 50(4), 1129–1151. DOI
- Scholl, A. (2017). The dynamics of sovereign default risk and political turnover. Journal of International Economics, 108, 37–53. DOI
- Chatterjee, S., & Eyigungor, B. (2019). Endogenous political turnover and fluctuations in sovereign default risk. Journal of International Economics, 117, 37–50. DOI
- Aguiar, M., Amador, M., & Fourakis, S. (2020). On the Welfare Losses from External Sovereign Borrowing. IMF Economic Review, 68(1), 163–194. DOI
- Azzimonti, M., & Quadrini, V. (2023). International Spillovers and Bailouts. Review of Economic Studies, 91(1), 77–128. DOI
- Azzimonti, M., & Mitra, N. (2023). Political constraints and sovereign default. Journal of International Money and Finance, 137, 102895. DOI
- Johnny Cotoc & Alok Johri & Cesar Sosa-Padilla (2024). Debt, Defaults and Dogma: politics and the dynamics of sovereign debt markets. International Economic Review.
Fiscal Policy
- Cuadra, G., Sanchez, J. M., & Sapriza, H. (2010). Fiscal policy and default risk in emerging markets. Review of Economic Dynamics, 13(2), 452–469. DOI
- Arellano, C., & Bai, Y. (2016). Fiscal austerity during debt crises. Economic Theory, 64(4), 657–673. DOI
- de-Córdoba, G. F., Pujolas, P. S., & Torres, J. L. (2017). Fiscal discipline and defaults. Review of Economic Dynamics, 24, 1–13. DOI
- Bianchi, J., Ottonello, P., & Presno, I. (2023). Fiscal Stimulus under Sovereign Risk. Journal of Political Economy, 131(9), 2328–2369. DOI
Domestic Heterogeniety, Inequality
- D’Erasmo, P., & Mendoza, E. G. (2016). Distributional Incentives in an Equilibrium Model of Domestic Sovereign Default. Journal of the European Economic Association, 14(1), 7–44. DOI
- Jeon, K., & Kabukcuoglu, Z. (2018). Income inequality and sovereign default. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 95, 211–232. DOI
- D’Erasmo, P., & Mendoza, E. G. (2021). History remembered: Optimal sovereign default on domestic and external debt. Journal of Monetary Economics, 117, 969–989. DOI
- Deng, M. (2024). Inequality, Taxation, and Sovereign Default Risk. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 16(2), 217–249. DOI
Optimal Contracting, Commitment
- Arpad Abraham & Eva Carceles-Poveda & Yan Liu & Ramon Marimon (2018). On the optimal design of a Financial Stability Fund. Working paper.
- Adam, K., & Grill, M. (2017). Optimal Sovereign Default. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 9(1), 128–164. DOI
- Dovis, A. (2018). Efficient Sovereign Default. The Review of Economic Studies. DOI
- Müller, A., Storesletten, K., & Zilibotti, F. (2019). Sovereign Debt and Structural Reforms. American Economic Review, 109(12), 4220–4259. DOI
- Aguiar, M., & Amador, M. (2019). A contraction for sovereign debt models. Journal of Economic Theory, 183, 842–875. DOI
- Juan Hatchondo & Francisco Roch & Leonardo Martinez (2019). Constrained efficient borrowing with sovereign default risk. Working paper.
- Xavier Mateos-Planas & Sean McCrary & José-Víctor Ríos-Rull & Adrien Wicht (2023). Commitment in the Canonical Sovereign Default Model. Working paper.
Computation
- Hatchondo, J. C., Martinez, L., & Sapriza, H. (2010). Quantitative properties of sovereign default models: Solution methods
matter. Review of Economic Dynamics, 13(4), 919–933. DOI
- Chatterjee, S., & Eyigungor, B. (2012). Maturity, Indebtedness, and Default Risk. American Economic Review, 102(6), 2674–2699. DOI
- Dvorkin, M., Sánchez, J. M., Sapriza, H., & Yurdagul, E. (2021). Sovereign Debt Restructurings. American Economic Journal:
Macroeconomics, 13(2), 26–77. DOI
Optimal Maturity in the Closed Economy
- Angeletos, G.-M. (2002). Fiscal Policy with Noncontingent Debt and the Optimal Maturity Structure. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(3), 1105–1131. DOI
- Bhandari, A., Evans, D., Golosov, M., & Sargent, T. J. (2016). Fiscal Policy and Debt Management with Incomplete Markets. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 132(2), 617–663. DOI
- Faraglia, E., Marcet, A., Oikonomou, R., & Scott, A. (2018). Government Debt Management: The Long and the Short of It. The Review of Economic Studies, 86(6), 2554–2604. DOI
- Léo Aparisi de Lannoy & Anmol Bhandari & David Evans & Mikhail Golosov & Thomas Sargent (2022). Managing Public Portfolios. Working paper.
Continuous Time Methods
- Fabrice Tourre (2017). A Macro-Finance Approach to Sovereign Debt Spreads and Returns. Working paper.
- Hurtado, S., Nuño, G., & Thomas, C. (2022). Monetary Policy and Sovereign Debt Sustainability. Journal of the European Economic Association, 21(1), 293–325. DOI
- Bigio, S., Nuño, G., & Passadore, J. (2023). Debt-Maturity Management with Liquidity Costs. Journal of Political Economy Macroeconomics, 1(1), 119–190. DOI
- Bornstein, G. (2020). A Continuous-Time Model of Sovereign Debt. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 118, 103963. DOI
- Rebelo, S., Wang, N., & Yang, J. Rare Disasters, Financial Development, and Sovereign Debt. The Journal of Finance, 77(5), 2719–2764. DOI
Learning, Reputation, and Ambiguity
- Amador, M., & Phelan, C. (2021). Reputation and Sovereign Default. Econometrica, 89(4), 1979–2010. DOI
- Amador, M., & Phelan, C. (2023). Reputation and Partial Default. American Economic Review: Insights, 5(2), 158–72. DOI
- Roch, F., & Roldán, F. (2023). Uncertainty, Sovereign Default Risk, and State-Contingent Debt. Journal of Political Economy Macroeconomics, 1(2), 334–370. DOI
- Paluszynski, R. (2023). Learning about Debt Crises. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 15(1), 106–134. DOI
- Morelli, J. M., & Moretti, M. (2023). Information Frictions, Reputation, and Sovereign Spreads. Journal of Political Economy, 131(11), 3066–3102. DOI
- Marcos Chamon & Francisco Roldán (2024). Sovereign Debt Tolerance with Potentially Permanent Costs of Default. IMF Economic Review. DOI
- Fourakis, F. (2024). Sovereign Default and Government Reputation. Working paper.
Legal and Contractual Aspects
- Sobel, M. (2016). Strengthening collective action clauses: catalysing change—the back story. Capital Markets Law Journal. DOI
- Schumacher, J., Trebesch, C., & Enderlein, H. (2021). Sovereign defaults in court. Journal of International Economics, 131, 103388. DOI
- Martinez, L., Roch, F., Roldán, F., & Zettelmeyer, J. (2023). Sovereign debt. Research Handbook of Financial Markets, 378–405. DOI
- Grund, S. (2023). Sovereign Debt Restructuring and the Law The Holdout Creditor Problem in Argentina and Greece. Website
- Makoff, G. (2024). Default: The Landmark Court Battle over Argentina's $100 Billion Debt Restructuring. DOI
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